Recession talk is back, and the smartest response is to watch the data and quietly fortify your finances before headlines ...

The yield curve has inverted before every US recession for the past 50 years.

Watch the yield curve, says Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive and chief investment officer at DoubleLine. (FRED) "My fear," said Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive and chief investment officer at ...

The disconnect between hard data (which capture measurable performance of the economy and are backward-looking) and soft data (which are typically based on sentiment and expectations and are often ...

As prices rise and financial uncertainty spreads, experts are picking up on more and more indicators that the economy is in a ...

Is the S&P 500 overvalued? Discover key market risks, growth forecasts, and expert strategies for navigating corrections in ...

Inverted Yields, Negative Rates, and U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward ...

One recession predictor is flashing following Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's Wednesday press conference. The yield curve is close to its most negative levels of 2022 once more, a sign traders remain ...

ORLANDO, Fla., June 2 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen this week issued a 'mea culpa' on getting it wrong on inflation. If the economy tips into recession in the next year or two, the ...

A humped yield curve is a relatively rare type of yield curve that results when the interest rates on medium-term fixed income securities are higher than the rates of both long and short-term ...