I decided to start the year by revisiting my work on estimating reaction functions for the ECB (see the appendix to ECB Set to Cut Rates Amid Trade Turmoil and Will the ECB cut interest rates on ...
Bloomberg's Cameron Crise discusses how to think about possible shifts in the dot plot and a QT taper in light of the Fed's recent reaction function.
Bloomberg's Cameron Crise discusses the Fed projections implied by market pricing and economist dot-plot forecasts, based on the FOMC reaction function.
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