The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

Growth concerns are driving a selloff in tech and cyclical sectors, while defensive sectors like utilities and consumer staples are gaining. Job openings have fallen, but this is a positive sign for ...

Learn how market segmentation theory shapes interest rates and yield curves, influencing your bond market decisions for better financial outcomes.

So close, and then so far. That was the story of the Treasury yield curve last October, when the 10-year yield briefly touched a decades-long high of five percent. As has become the norm, the bond ...

Every yield curve "situation" has a series of people explaining why the yield curve doesn't matter this time, or arguing over which specific yield curve to care about. See thread and charts below.

After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...

No foolproof formula predicts the economy in general or recessions in particular, but one of the indicator does a better job than the others: the yield curve. If one plots a chart of interest rates ...

The yield curve inverted this week when yields on 2-year notes rose above the ones on 10-year notes. Yield curve inversion has been a strong predictor recession is coming, Fed research shows. Every ...

This reliable indicator has accurately predicted the last four recessions. However, the economy is still strong based on recent data. Whether a recession materializes could move stocks significantly ...

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...