Historically speaking, there's a 50% chance the S&P 500 drops 10% (or more) at some point in 2026. Adding to that, the average time between corrections is about once every 18 months. The last correction came in April of 2025, so it would be perfectly average if the index had another correction in late 2026.

Wall Street’s flagship index just made an unusual move, marking a shift that could matter for investors in the months ahead.

The S&P 500 climbed 0.3% to its second consecutive closing high. The Nasdaq composite tacked on 0.2%. The small-cap Russell 2000 index rose 0.3%. The stock market closed early at 1 p.m. ET and will remain closed on Thursday for the Christmas Day holiday.

S&P 500 could gain 12-13% by 2026, led by earnings growth despite high valuations. Click for my outlook and why AI, defense and aerospace will lead.

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Shares of the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF, often seen as an equal-weight counterpart to the cap-weighted version of the S&P 500, again outperformed the standard index on Monday, as stocks' rally broadened.

Explore a probability-based forecast for the S&P 500 in 2026, highlighting risks, upside potential, and key tech sector influences.

The S&P 500 Has Soared 92% During This Bull Market. History Says the Stock Market Will Do This in 2026. Historically, the S&P 500 has returned an average of 184% during bull markets.

U.S. stock indices stay bullish, with strong upward momentum across the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow despite lighter, holiday-shortened trading.

The benchmark S&P 500 hit its latest record, setting up Wall Street to ride into the Christmas holiday on a high note.